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Title: OPTIMAL CONTROL, EXPECTATIONS AND UNCERTAINTY
By: Sean Holly, Andrew Hughes Hallet
Format: Paperback

List price: £30.99
Our price: £27.12
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12.5% off
You save: £3.87
ISBN 10: 0521126339
ISBN 13: 9780521126335
Availability: Usually dispatched within 1-3 weeks.
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Publisher: CAMBRIDGE UNIVERSITY PRESS
Pub. date: 1 January, 2010
Pages: 260
Description: An examination of how the rational expectations revolution and game theory have enhanced the understanding of how an economy functions.
Synopsis: The rational expectations revolution and other developments in economics (notably game theory) have fundamentally altered the application of optimal control theory to economic forecasting and planning. In particular, they have shown that economic systems cannot be modelled simplistically on physical systems. However, as the authors of this volume show, these developments have greatly enhanced our understanding of how an economy functions, and now make it possible for optimal control theory to be applied much more effectively to economic modelling and planning. This book is divided into two parts. The first presents the orthodox framework but extends it to allow for multiplicative uncertainty, risk and non-linearities in the econometric model. The second part looks explicitly at the question of expectations. It provides methods by which forward-looking expectations can be treated jointly with the determination of economic policy. It also examines game-theoretic considerations - where, for instance, policy makers may have incentive to renege on their commitments.
Publication: UK
Imprint: Cambridge University Press
Returns: Returnable
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