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Item Details
Title: IDENTIFICATION FOR PREDICTION AND DECISION
By: Charles F. Manski
Format: Hardback

List price: £117.95
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ISBN 10: 0674026535
ISBN 13: 9780674026537
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Publisher: HARVARD UNIVERSITY PRESS
Pub. date: 14 December, 2007
Pages: 368
Description: Provides an exposition of Charles Manski's methodology for analyzing empirical questions in the social sciences. This book studies prediction with missing or otherwise incomplete data. It also concerns the analysis of treatment response, which aims to predict outcomes when alternative treatment rules are applied to a population.
Synopsis: This book is a full-scale exposition of Charles Manski's new methodology for analyzing empirical questions in the social sciences. He recommends that researchers first ask what can be learned from data alone, and then ask what can be learned when data are combined with credible weak assumptions. Inferences predicated on weak assumptions, he argues, can achieve wide consensus, while ones that require strong assumptions almost inevitably are subject to sharp disagreements.Building on the foundation laid in the author's "Identification Problems in the Social Sciences" (Harvard, 1995), the book's fifteen chapters are organized in three parts. Part I studies prediction with missing or otherwise incomplete data. Part II concerns the analysis of treatment response, which aims to predict outcomes when alternative treatment rules are applied to a population. Part III studies prediction of choice behaviour.Each chapter juxtaposes developments of methodology with empirical or numerical illustrations. The book employs a simple notation and mathematical apparatus, using only basic elements of probability theory.
Illustrations: 2 line illustrations, 7 tables
Publication: US
Imprint: Harvard University Press
Returns: Returnable
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DISCOURSE ON SOCIAL PLANNING UNDER UNCERTAINTY
DISCOURSE ON SOCIAL PLANNING UNDER UNCERTAINTY (HB)
ECONOMICS TO ECONOMETRICS (HB)
ELICITATION OF PREFERENCES (HB)
ELICITATION OF PREFERENCES (PB)
EVALUATING FOOD ASSISTANCE PROGRAMS IN AN ERA OF WELFARE REFORM (PB)
EVALUATING WELFARE AND TRAINING PROGRAMS (HB)
IDENTIFICATION PROBLEMS IN THE SOCIAL SCIENCES (PB)
INFORMING AMERICA'S POLICY ON ILLEGAL DRUGS (HB)
PARTIAL IDENTIFICATION OF PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS (HB)
PARTIAL IDENTIFICATION OF PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS (PB)
PATIENT CARE UNDER UNCERTAINTY (HB)
PROVIDING NATIONAL STATISTICS ON HEALTH AND SOCIAL WELFARE PROGRAMS IN AN ERA OF CHANGE (PB)
PUBLIC POLICY IN AN UNCERTAIN WORLD
PUBLIC POLICY IN AN UNCERTAIN WORLD (HB)
SOCIAL CHOICE WITH PARTIAL KNOWLEDGE OF TREATMENT RESPONSE (HB)

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