IRREGULARITIES AND PREDICTION OF MAJOR DISASTERS by Yi Lin, Shoucheng OuYang ( 9781420087451 )

Item Details

Title:

IRREGULARITIES AND PREDICTION OF MAJOR DISASTERS

By:

Yi Lin, Shoucheng OuYang

Format:

Hardback

List price:

£145.00

Our price:

£130.50

Discount:

10% off

You save:

£14.50

ISBN 10:

1420087452

ISBN 13:

9781420087451

Availability:

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Stock:

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Publisher:

TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD

Pub. date:

18 March, 2010

Series:

Systems Evaluation, Prediction, and Decision-Making

Pages:

627

Description:

Presenting a series of fresh understandings, theories, and a new system of methodology, this title simplifies the world-class problem of prediction into a series of tasks that can be learned, mastered, and applied in the analysis and prediction of forthcoming changes in materials or fluids.

Synopsis:

Although scientists have effectively employed the concepts of probability to address the complex problem of prediction, modern science still falls short in establishing true predictions with meaningful lead times of zero-probability major disasters. The recent earthquakes in Haiti, Chile, and China are tragic reminders of the critical need for improved methods of predicting natural disasters. Drawing on their vast practical experience and theoretical studies, Dr. Yi Lin and Professor Shoucheng OuYang examine some of the problems that exist in the modern system of science to provide the understanding required to improve our ability to forecast and prepare for such events. Presenting a series of new understandings, theories, and a new system of methodology, Irregularities and Prediction of Major Disasters simplifies the world-class problem of prediction into a series of tasks that can be learned, mastered, and applied in the analysis and prediction of forthcoming changes in materials or fluids. These internationally respected authors introduce their novel method of digitization for dealing with irregular information, proven effective for predicting transitional changes in events.They also: * Unveil a new methodology for forecasting zero-probability natural disasters * Highlight the reasons for common forecasting failures * Propose a method for resolving the mystery of nonlinearity * Include numerous real-life case studies that illustrate how to properly digitize available information * Supply proven methods for forecasting small-probability natural disasters This authoritative resource provides a systematic discussion of the non-evolutionality of the modern system of science-analyzing its capabilities and limitations. By touching on the need for change in some of the fundamentals in basic scientific theories and relevant methodologies, this book provides the scientific community with the understanding and methodology required to forecast zero-probability major disasters with greatly improved accuracy.

Illustrations:

228 black & white illustrations, 3 black & white tables

Publication:

Imprint:

Auerbach Publishers Inc.

Returns:

Returnable

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