| Title:
|
MODELLING POTENTIAL MALARIA SPREAD IN GERMANY BY USE OF CLIMATE CHANGE PROJECTIONS
A RISK ASSESSMENT APPROACH COUPLING EPIDEMIOLOGIC AND GEOSTATISTICAL MEASURES |
| By: |
Winfried Schroder, Gunther Schmidt |
| Format: |
Paperback |
| List price:
|
£49.99 |
|
We currently do not stock this item, please contact the publisher directly for
further information.
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ISBN 10: |
3319038222 |
| ISBN 13: |
9783319038223 |
| Publisher: |
SPRINGER INTERNATIONAL PUBLISHING AG |
| Pub. date: |
15 December, 2013 |
| Edition: |
2014 ed. |
| Series: |
SpringerBriefs in Environmental Science |
| Pages: |
58 |
| Description: |
This volume on a high-profile modern issue presents a sophisticated, integrated risk assessment approach to modeling the potential return of malaria to Germany, which could be triggered by the higher temperatures resulting from global climate change. |
| Synopsis: |
This book investigates the spatial distribution of potential temperature-driven malaria transmissions, using the basic reproduction rate (R0) to model the reproduction of the malaria pathogen Plasmodium vivax. The authors mapped areas at risk of an outbreak of tertian malaria in the federal state of Lower Saxony (pre-study) and for whole Germany (main-study) by means of geostatistics for past (1947-2007) and future periods. Projections based on predicted monthly mean air temperature data derived from the IPCC and regionally discriminated by two regional climate models (REMO, WettReg) for the countrywide study. |
| Illustrations: |
14 Tables, black and white; 15 Illustrations, color; 3 Illustrations, black |
| Publication: |
Switzerland |
| Imprint: |
Springer International Publishing AG |
| Returns: |
Returnable |