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Item Details
Title: RECKONING WITH RISK
LEARNING TO LIVE WITH UNCERTAINTY
By: Gerd Gigerenzer
Format: Paperback

List price: £10.99
Our price: £8.02
Discount:
27% off
You save: £2.97
ISBN 10: 0140297863
ISBN 13: 9780140297867
Availability: Usually dispatched within 1-2 days.
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Stock: Currently 4 available
Publisher: PENGUIN BOOKS LTD
Pub. date: 24 April, 2003
Pages: 320
Description: However much we want certainty in our lives, it feels as if we live in an uncertain and dangerous world. But are we guilty of exaggerating the chances of some unwanted event happening to us? Are we misled by our ignorance of the reality of risk? This title illustrates how we can learn to make sense of statistics and turn ignorance into insight.
Synopsis: Gerd Gigerenzer's Reckoning with Risk: Learning to Live with Uncertainty illustrates how we can learn to make sense of statistics and turn ignorance into insight. However much we want certainty in our lives, it feels as if we live in an uncertain and dangerous world. But are we guilty of wildly exaggerating the chances of some unwanted event happening to us? Are we misled by our ignorance of the reality of risk? Far too many of us, argues Gerd Gigerenzer, are hampered by our own innumeracy, while statistics are often presented to us in highly confusing ways. With real world examples, such as the incidence of errors in tests for breast cancer or HIV, or in DNA fingerprinting, and the manipulation of statistics for evidence in court, he shows that our difficulty in thinking about numbers can easily be overcome. 'Indispensable ... The book will change the attentive reader's way of looking at the world' Sunday Telegraph 'An important book ... the reader is presented with a powerful set of tools for understanding statistics ... anyone who wants to take responsibility for their own medical choices should read it' New Scientist 'Gigerenzer makes clear thinking easier' Evening Standard 'More than ever, citizens need to know how to evaluate risk ... This book should be pressed into the palms of ' Independent Gerd Gigerenzer is Director of the Center for Adaptive Behavior and Cognition at the Max Planck Institute for Human Development in Berlin and former Professor of Psychology at the University of Chicago. He has published two academic books on heuristics, Simple Heuristics That Make Us Smart and Bounded Rationality: The Adaptive Toolbox as well as a popular science book, Gut Feelings: Short Cuts to Better Decision Making.
Publication: UK
Imprint: Penguin Books Ltd
Prizes: Short-listed for Aventis Prize for Science Books 2003
Returns: Returnable
Some other items by this author:
ADAPTIVE THINKING (PB)
BETTER DOCTORS, BETTER PATIENTS, BETTER DECISIONS (HB)
BETTER DOCTORS, BETTER PATIENTS, BETTER DECISIONS (PB)
BOUNDED RATIONALITY (PB)
CALCULATED RISKS: HOW TO KNOW WHEN NUMB (PB)
COGNITION AS INTUITIVE STATISTICS
COGNITION AS INTUITIVE STATISTICS
COGNITION AS INTUITIVE STATISTICS
COGNITION AS INTUITIVE STATISTICS (HB)
COGNITION AS INTUITIVE STATISTICS (PB)
ECOLOGICAL RATIONALITY (HB)
EMPIRE OF CHANCE (HB)
EXPERTS IN SCIENCE AND SOCIETY (HB)
EXPERTS IN SCIENCE AND SOCIETY (PB)
GUT FEELINGS (PB)
GUT FEELINGS (PB)
HEURISTICS (HB)
HEURISTICS (PB)
HEURISTICS AND THE LAW (HB)
HOW TO STAY SMART IN A SMART WORLD (HB)
HOW TO STAY SMART IN A SMART WORLD (HB)
HOW TO STAY SMART IN A SMART WORLD (PB)
INTELLIGENCE OF INTUITION
INTELLIGENCE OF INTUITION (HB)
RATIONALITY FOR MORTALS (HB)
RATIONALITY FOR MORTALS (PB)
RISK SAVVY (PB)
RISK SAVVY (PB)
SIMPLE HEURISTICS THAT MAKE US SMART (PB)
SIMPLY RATIONAL (HB)
THE EMPIRE OF CHANCE (PB)
THE PROBABILISTIC REVOLUTION (PB)

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